Marcos Giron vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Both Giron and Carabelli have an identical second serve point win rate of 45.04% in the last six months. Does this provide a significant edge? Not necessarily, as there is no clear advantage in this aspect.
• When it comes to return games, Carabelli has the upper hand, winning 47.87% of second serve return points compared to Giron's 42.97%. For first serve returns, Carabelli again leads with 28.72% over Giron's 27.1%.
• Under pressure, Giron is slightly more effective at saving breakpoints with a 56.92% save rate versus Carabelli's 54.09%.
• In terms of overall match wins during the last year, Carabelli excels with a win rate of 63.41%, surpassing Giron's 54.55%.
• Analyzing surfaces, Giron performs best on indoor hard courts with a 60% win rate, whereas Carabelli dominates clay courts with a 65% win rate. Where will this upcoming match take place?
• Giron has participated in more high-level competitions, primarily the Main tour, with a success rate of 58.33%. Meanwhile, Carabelli mostly competes in the Challengers/ITF circuit, boasting a 78.26% win rate.
• Regarding opponent quality, Giron has faced stronger competitors on average, ranked at 67.44, compared to Carabelli's average opponent ranking of 176.32.
• In deciding set scenarios, Carabelli shows superior performance, winning 72% of such sets, while Giron manages a 45% win rate.
• Break point conversion is closely matched, with Carabelli slightly ahead at 35.46% compared to Giron's 34.81%.

Editorial Prediction (July 1, 2025, UTC):

With both players showcasing similar second serve statistics, the match might not be decided on this aspect alone. However, Carabelli's superior return game performance could sway the match in his favor, especially on second serves.

Giron's slight edge in saving breakpoints under pressure and his experience on the Main tour are noteworthy. Nonetheless, Carabelli's higher win rate over the past year indicates a consistent performance advantage.

Carabelli's dominance on clay and his superior record in deciding sets may prove critical, especially if this match extends to a third set. Giron's higher caliber of competition provides experience, yet Carabelli's stats suggest an edge in execution.

In conclusion, considering recent performance metrics and playing conditions, Carabelli seems more likely to emerge victorious in this tennis encounter.